Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.303468e-05 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070 0.000080
2025-03-30 2.504176e-05 0.000033 0.000042 0.000053 0.000065 0.000080 0.000097
2025-04-06 1.905481e-05 0.000027 0.000038 0.000051 0.000068 0.000087 0.000111
2025-04-13 1.410812e-05 0.000022 0.000033 0.000048 0.000067 0.000090 0.000120
2025-04-20 1.090340e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000046 0.000068 0.000095 0.000131
2025-04-27 8.887416e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000046 0.000070 0.000101 0.000143
2025-05-04 7.336080e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000046 0.000073 0.000108 0.000156
2025-05-11 6.620512e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000049 0.000078 0.000119 0.000174
2025-05-18 5.491934e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000048 0.000081 0.000124 0.000187
2025-05-25 4.203063e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000046 0.000079 0.000126 0.000193
2025-06-01 3.323119e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000045 0.000080 0.000129 0.000202
2025-06-08 2.708875e-06 0.000009 0.000022 0.000044 0.000081 0.000134 0.000212
2025-06-15 2.117581e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000044 0.000083 0.000140 0.000226
2025-06-22 1.618908e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000044 0.000085 0.000146 0.000240
2025-06-29 1.151076e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000042 0.000085 0.000150 0.000250
2025-07-06 7.257978e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000040 0.000083 0.000150 0.000255
2025-07-13 4.774591e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000082 0.000152 0.000264
2025-07-20 3.407722e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000084 0.000158 0.000277
2025-07-27 2.417580e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000038 0.000086 0.000165 0.000292
2025-08-03 2.093380e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000040 0.000092 0.000177 0.000315
2025-08-10 1.417613e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000040 0.000093 0.000183 0.000330
2025-08-17 7.266841e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000038 0.000092 0.000183 0.000335
2025-08-24 3.779722e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000037 0.000092 0.000186 0.000345